Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005586 0.005903 0.006231 0.006597 0.006995 0.007416 0.007894
2026-01-25 0.005010 0.005465 0.005960 0.006539 0.007203 0.007944 0.008840
2026-02-01 0.004762 0.005311 0.005926 0.006673 0.007563 0.008599 0.009914
2026-02-08 0.004491 0.005092 0.005783 0.006644 0.007702 0.008977 0.010659
2026-02-15 0.004284 0.004926 0.005678 0.006639 0.007851 0.009357 0.011416
2026-02-22 0.004065 0.004727 0.005516 0.006543 0.007870 0.009561 0.011944
2026-03-01 0.003878 0.004554 0.005373 0.006458 0.007887 0.009753 0.012459
2026-03-08 0.003749 0.004445 0.005301 0.006452 0.008001 0.010072 0.013166
2026-03-15 0.003548 0.004236 0.005089 0.006253 0.007841 0.010002 0.013302
2026-03-22 0.003459 0.004164 0.005050 0.006276 0.007979 0.010349 0.014072
2026-03-29 0.003399 0.004125 0.005050 0.006350 0.008189 0.010808 0.015044
2026-04-05 0.003294 0.004023 0.004962 0.006296 0.008214 0.010994 0.015601
2026-04-12 0.003208 0.003946 0.004904 0.006283 0.008297 0.011275 0.016341
2026-04-19 0.003113 0.003851 0.004819 0.006228 0.008315 0.011457 0.016932
2026-04-26 0.003088 0.003849 0.004860 0.006353 0.008606 0.012078 0.018331
2026-05-03 0.003013 0.003776 0.004799 0.006326 0.008662 0.012329 0.019099
2026-05-10 0.002949 0.003717 0.004755 0.006321 0.008751 0.012635 0.019995
2026-05-17 0.002862 0.003623 0.004658 0.006232 0.008702 0.012707 0.020453
2026-05-24 0.002783 0.003537 0.004569 0.006153 0.008663 0.012791 0.020942
2026-05-31 0.002731 0.003487 0.004531 0.006148 0.008743 0.013084 0.021871
2026-06-07 0.002626 0.003361 0.004379 0.005962 0.008518 0.012829 0.021658
2026-06-14 0.002588 0.003328 0.004361 0.005983 0.008635 0.013187 0.022757
2026-06-21 0.002566 0.003318 0.004374 0.006052 0.008836 0.013708 0.024265